The witness, Prof. Mr. S. Lynn: True.
Adv. Mr. Gil Atar: So you're basically dealing with patients?
The witness, Prof. Mr. S. Lynn: True
Adv. Mr. Gil Atar: You say when a person gets sick, I attribute it to medicine. A person who hasn't gotten sick yet, you don't know what will happen to him.
The witness, Prof. Mr. S. Lynn: For the same person..
Adv. Mr. Gil Atar: who has not yet been ill
The witness, Prof. Mr. S. Lynn: who has not yet been ill.
(p. 823) (see also his testimony as quoted above, at pp. 811-812).
- In our case, the 'prospective' examination raised by the expert is prima facie relevant. According to him, as quoted at length above, in the forward-looking examination, a calculation of the probability of risk – RISK, morbidity rates – must be made in order to prove that a certain factor is carcinogenic, and there are also Hill's guidelines (see also Prof. Rennert's testimony on pages 1897-1899). Such a probabilistic calculation with respect to applicants or residents of the Gulf who did not fall ill was not made by the expert within the scope of the application for approval, and he even confirmed that he did not deal with it. As stated above, the potential factual causal connection that the applicants must prove concerns the question of whether the alleged exposure is capable of causing an alleged disease, Lin's opinion does not have an appropriate scientific answer to this, since it did not deal with someone who has not yet become ill.
- Lin was asked in this context and answered, among other things, as follows:
Q: ....The Cookie Model, if I understood correctly this passage that you are talking about the fact that prospectively it is one thing Verretrospectively That's another thing. In other words, about the retrospective question, you know how to say, there is a very high probability of the prospective matter, you say that it already depends on all kinds of factors, tests, other research. So if I understand your words correctly, then the cookie model that... The cookie model, we know what that means, yes?